Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005818 0.006155 0.006505 0.006895 0.007320 0.007770 0.008283
2026-01-18 0.005240 0.005728 0.006258 0.006882 0.007598 0.008401 0.009375
2026-01-25 0.004849 0.005414 0.006048 0.006819 0.007739 0.008813 0.010177
2026-02-01 0.004668 0.005306 0.006041 0.006961 0.008097 0.009472 0.011294
2026-02-08 0.004436 0.005113 0.005910 0.006931 0.008225 0.009841 0.012062
2026-02-15 0.004252 0.004962 0.005812 0.006925 0.008371 0.010228 0.012867
2026-02-22 0.004049 0.004772 0.005652 0.006823 0.008378 0.010423 0.013417
2026-03-01 0.003873 0.004606 0.005510 0.006733 0.008386 0.010611 0.013962
2026-03-08 0.003752 0.004501 0.005438 0.006727 0.008502 0.010948 0.014738
2026-03-15 0.003556 0.004293 0.005223 0.006515 0.008320 0.010848 0.014850
2026-03-22 0.003471 0.004223 0.005184 0.006539 0.008465 0.011221 0.015708
2026-03-29 0.003415 0.004187 0.005187 0.006617 0.008688 0.011720 0.016806
2026-04-05 0.003311 0.004087 0.005100 0.006566 0.008724 0.011942 0.017482
2026-04-12 0.003228 0.004010 0.005041 0.006554 0.008814 0.012253 0.018333
2026-04-19 0.003134 0.003915 0.004955 0.006496 0.008829 0.012443 0.018992
2026-04-26 0.003111 0.003916 0.004999 0.006628 0.009142 0.013130 0.020606
2026-05-03 0.003037 0.003843 0.004937 0.006600 0.009200 0.013401 0.021479
2026-05-10 0.002974 0.003784 0.004892 0.006594 0.009294 0.013735 0.022504
2026-05-17 0.002888 0.003688 0.004792 0.006500 0.009237 0.013805 0.023013
2026-05-24 0.002808 0.003601 0.004700 0.006415 0.009192 0.013891 0.023561
2026-05-31 0.002757 0.003551 0.004661 0.006409 0.009276 0.014210 0.024629
2026-06-07 0.002651 0.003423 0.004503 0.006212 0.009029 0.013915 0.024349
2026-06-14 0.002614 0.003390 0.004485 0.006234 0.009154 0.014309 0.025620